Swiss political scientist Dr. Louis Perron is raising concerns about the recent polling surge favoring Vice President Kamala Harris, suggesting that voter dishonesty could be skewing the results. Perron, who has extensively studied election dynamics, believes that some voters might be providing misleading responses to pollsters due to social pressures and a desire to align with what is portrayed as socially acceptable.
“There is currently quite a media hype about Kamala in the mainstream media, so some voters might not want to admit that they won’t vote for her,” Perron explained. He pointed out that this dynamic, often referred to as the “shy voter” phenomenon, has led to inaccurate polling in past elections, particularly in cases involving conservative candidates. Voters who privately support candidates like Donald Trump or right-leaning parties often feel pressured to hide their preferences when responding to pollsters.
Perron also emphasized that national polls are naturally biased toward Democrats due to large, uncontested margins in states like California and New York, which inflate overall numbers. This bias, combined with voters potentially lying to avoid criticism, could mean that Harris’ apparent lead is overstated.
The political scientist noted that a similar pattern was observed during Trump’s previous campaigns, where polls underestimated his support until Election Day. Perron cautioned against taking current polling at face value, suggesting that the real outcome may be different when voters are in the privacy of the voting booth.
As Election Day approaches, Perron’s analysis suggests that the polling landscape could shift dramatically, and Harris’ perceived advantage might not be as solid as it appears.
