Poll: Trump Wins over Biden or Harris in ‘24

A new nationwide poll shows former President Donald Trump beating both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in hypothetical 2024 presidential matchups.

The latest Harvard CAPS-Harris survey paints a dire picture for both the president and congressional Democrats as respondents chose Trump by six points over Biden and 11 over Harris. The numbers come after the Sunday release of an NBC poll showing Biden with the lowest approval rating of his presidency.

The president has not officially declared his candidacy for reelection, and Trump has not confirmed his intention to run again, though he continues to hold campaign-style rallies around the country. And while Biden was once thought to be considering handing the reins to Harris for the next election, her numbers are even worse than his.

How bad? Only 38% of voters in California, Harris’ home state, approve of her performance as vice president.

Former President Trump also comes out ahead against members of his own party, polling far better than former Vice President Mike Pence and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis — the only Republicans with double-digit support in the poll.

Congressional Democrats fear the president’s low approval numbers dragging them out of power during the midterms, elections that traditionally see the incumbent president’s party lose seats.

The poll of 1,990 registered voters reveals a 53 percent to 47 percent lead for the GOP over the Democratic party on a generic congressional ballot test.

Independents swing even further to Republicans by a 59% to 41% margin. The House majority is slim, and the Senate is 50-50, so even a normal shift in the midterms gives the GOP both chambers.

Even more numbers show the desperate state of the Democratic party heading into November. Georgia, a supposed battleground state that narrowly went to Biden in 2020, now favors Trump by 51.6% to 36.8% for Biden. The Blueprint polling survey also shows challenger, Herschel Walker, leading incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock 50% to 45%.

It’s still March, and November is a long way down the road; so, much can change between now and then. But polls piled on top of other polls consistently show that American voters are unhappy with the country’s direction under the Biden administration. And the legislative branch of our federal government looks likely to be in the GOP’s control very soon.