A new poll indicates that voters who are disturbed by the decision of the Supreme Court that overturned Roe v. Wade are less motivated to vote in this fall’s midterm elections than other groups.
The Washington Post/Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University poll was released on Friday and centers on voter attitudes about the ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. That decision reversed Roe, once again giving authority to individual states to regulate or prohibit abortions.
The poll surveyed adults across the nation, and indicates that 65% of respondents saw the Dobbs decision as a “major loss of rights for women.” Of that group, 52% said that they are “certain” they will vote in this year’s midterms.
It also showed that 35% of respondents feel that Dobbs is “not a major loss of rights for women.” Of those people, 70% said that they will be certain voters in November.
Schar School of Policy and Government Dean Mark Rozell assisted in directing the poll and found it unusual that dissatisfaction with the Democratic Party could be so strong that “those most affected by the court decision plan to sit out this election.” He added, “I struggle to wrap my head around this disconnect.”
When it comes to the top reason respondents said they would vote this year, rising prices was the most cited at 39%. Abortion trailed at 31%. Crime was indicated by 23% and immigration by 20% of respondents as most important.
The Biden administration and Democratic leadership have done very little to offer a federal plan for addressing the loss of Roe to its progressive base. That is true even though observers believed that the end of Roe was highly likely as far back as May 2021 when the Supreme Court agreed to take up the Dobbs appeal.
Washington Democrats face the reality that there is virtually no chance that the Senate will pass a bill codifying abortion rights on a federal level before the November elections. They also face the possibility that the Supreme Court would rule any such federal law would lack constitutional authority.
As a result, voters who favor abortion and are realistic are more likely focused on local elections in the states where they live.
Grassroots group Our Revolution political director Aaron Chappell said that Democrat leadership has been “reduced to begging for people to vote.” He added that they have “no clear plan, no promises of what those votes will translate to.”